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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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News
Why the Gasoline Price Spike Didn’t Derail Consumer Spending despite all Moaning & Groaning: Auto Dealers Got Caught Too
4+ day, 7+ hour ago (401+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation This is pretty crazy behavior by dealers buying used…...
Quarterly Update on the Ugly Fiscal Condition of the US in Q2 2026
2+ week, 2+ day ago (916+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation Interest payments by the federal government on its $40 trillion…...
Inflation Refuses to Go Back into the Bottle: Fed-Favored PCE Price Index
2+ week, 3+ day ago (549+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The core PCE price index – which excludes energy and…...
Self-Employed Workers (the “Gig Workers”), Part-Time Workers, and Multiple Jobholders: Some Thoughts
1+ mon, 5+ day ago (603+ words) These three categories of workers can shed some light on the complexities of the labor market, against the background of the employment report today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (discussion here). Self-employment is at a historically low share of…...
Derivative Losses Squish Already Crushed UWM, the Largest Mortgage Lender in the US: SPACs just Keep on Giving
1+ mon, 6+ day ago (399+ words) The already shredded stock of UWM Holding, the parent company of United Wholesale Mortgage, the largest home-mortgage lender in the US with $40 billion in mortgage originations in Q2, plunged another 35% today, into penny-stock territory of $1.20 a share. The company, which exclusively…...
One Thing Is Clear about the AI Boom: It’s Burning Huge Amounts of Cash, and Alphabet Needs More
1+ mon, 6+ day ago (542+ words) Alphabet, one of the biggest hyperscalers building out the AI infrastructure, wants to borrow more money, again, this time between $20 billion and $25 billion in a bond offering of up to 10 parts, with maturities ranging from 2 years to 40 years, according to…...
Growth of the Vacant Housing Stock in the US
1+ mon, 2+ week ago (977+ words) The US added 1.51 million housing units (new construction minus demolitions) in 12 months, homes for 3.5 million people. The population grew by 757,000. And vacant housing units continued to surge. The total US housing stock grew by 1.507 million housing units (new construction minus…...
Single-Family & Multifamily Rents in Face of an Onslaught of New Supply & Fading Population Growth
1+ mon, 3+ week ago (884+ words) Those rent increases fired up the construction machinery: From January 2020 through June 2026, multifamily mid-tier asking rents across the US surged by 33%, led by the metropolitan areas of Denver, CO (+69%); Seattle, WA (67%); Salt Lake City, UT (+67%); Los Angeles, CA (+65%); Portland, OR…...
Inflation & Nominal Economic Growth to the Rescue: The US Government’s Ugly Fiscal Mess
2+ mon, 1+ week ago (1047+ words) And the government’s solution to the mess, supported by the Fed, has been to “let it run hot”: higher nominal economic growth and higher inflation – instead of fiscal responses. Interest payments by the federal government on its gargantuan Treasury debt…...
AI Investment Boom Sucks Up Hoarded Cash from Stock Market Investors & Companies, Sprays it into the Real Economy
3+ mon, 1+ week ago (693+ words) The AI investment bubble is starting to produce a giant sucking sound of cash out of stock-market investors’ accounts as Corporate America raises enormous amounts of cash through sales of newly issued shares at mindboggling stratospheric valuations. There will be…...