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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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News
Why the Gasoline Price Spike Didn’t Derail Consumer Spending despite all Moaning & Groaning: Auto Dealers Got Caught Too
5+ day, 11+ hour ago (401+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation This is pretty crazy behavior by dealers buying used…...
Quarterly Update on the Ugly Fiscal Condition of the US in Q2 2026
2+ week, 3+ day ago (916+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation Interest payments by the federal government on its $40 trillion…...
Inflation Refuses to Go Back into the Bottle: Fed-Favored PCE Price Index
2+ week, 4+ day ago (549+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The core PCE price index – which excludes energy and…...
Growth of the Vacant Housing Stock in the US
1+ mon, 2+ week ago (977+ words) The US added 1.51 million housing units (new construction minus demolitions) in 12 months, homes for 3.5 million people. The population grew by 757,000. And vacant housing units continued to surge. The total US housing stock grew by 1.507 million housing units (new construction minus…...
Single-Family & Multifamily Rents in Face of an Onslaught of New Supply & Fading Population Growth
1+ mon, 3+ week ago (884+ words) Those rent increases fired up the construction machinery: From January 2020 through June 2026, multifamily mid-tier asking rents across the US surged by 33%, led by the metropolitan areas of Denver, CO (+69%); Seattle, WA (67%); Salt Lake City, UT (+67%); Los Angeles, CA (+65%); Portland, OR…...
Inflation & Nominal Economic Growth to the Rescue: The US Government’s Ugly Fiscal Mess
2+ mon, 2+ week ago (1047+ words) And the government’s solution to the mess, supported by the Fed, has been to “let it run hot”: higher nominal economic growth and higher inflation – instead of fiscal responses. Interest payments by the federal government on its gargantuan Treasury debt…...
Housing Bubble & Bust #1 and #2 as Seen through Employment at Mortgage Lenders and Mortgage Brokers
4+ mon, 5+ day ago (869+ words) Housing bubbles entail employment bubbles at mortgage lenders and mortgage brokers. And housing busts then dramatically unwind those employment bubbles as mortgage lenders and brokers react to plunging demand in the housing market. Employment at nonbank mortgage lenders – which dominate…...
Farm Action’s Letter to Congress, Lambasting the Concentration of Fertilizer Makers and its Impact on Prices
5+ mon, 2+ week ago (519+ words) Farm Action – “a nonpartisan agricultural watchdog organization led by farmers,” as it describes itself – has been lambasting the concentration in the agricultural system, an issue that is becoming even more urgent amid the current pressures in fertilizer pricing. “Waves of…...
The US Labor Market Confounds with its Countercurrents. It May Be the New Normal Labor Market
5+ mon, 2+ week ago (1098+ words) On one side, there are the tech layoff announcements, often to clean up what tech CEOs widely called “over-hiring” to describe what they’d done in 2020-2022, when their payrolls exploded; Block CEO Jack Dorsey was the latest on X, “yes we…...
Hot Producer Price Inflation Adds to Fed’s Complex and Worsening Inflation Problem
5+ mon, 3+ week ago (1820+ words) The Producer Price Index final demand for services jumped by 0.54% (+6.7% annualized) in February from January, seasonally adjusted, after spiking by 0.82% (+10.3% annualized) in January, and by 0.59% (+7.3% annualized) in December, which pushed the six-month average to +5.8% annualized, the worst since August 2022, according…...