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After biggest hiring binge ever in 2020-2021, it was clear there’d be a lot of sorting out & cleaning up afterwards. Is it finally time to bottom-fish this stock? Or is it a falling knife? Big Tech is finally plowing their cash & their investors’ cash into the economy. Tax refunds make great down-payments which are gre
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News
The Spread between 10-Year Treasury Yield & 30-Year Mortgage Rate Has Been Stuck at 2 Percentage Points despite Fannie & Freddie MBS Buybacks: Some Thoughts
1+ week, 2+ day ago (946+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.71%, the…...
Japan’s Bond Market Rises from YCC Grave as BOJ Tries to Halt Yen Collapse: 10-Year JGB Yield Hits 3.02%, 30-Year Hits 4.18%
1+ week, 3+ day ago (526+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield rose to 3.02% today,…...
AI, Leverage out the Wazoo, Sky-High Asset Prices, Private Credit, Interconnectedness, and Government Debt Pose Risks to Global Financial System
1+ week, 5+ day ago (340+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation Everything was on top of the list, so to…...
US Government Sold $797 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.73%, 30-Year Yield 5.22%
2+ week, 5+ hour ago (1191+ words) Banks California Canada CRE, the Epic Mess Credit Bubble Debtor Nation Drunken Sailors Europe Federal Reserve Housing Bubble 2 Inflation & Devaluation Japan Jobs Markets & Companies Oil, Gas, Power Trucks & Cars Trade & Transportation The US government sold $797 billion of Treasury securities this…...
Buy Low, Sell High: Intel Boosts its Massive Sale of Shares
1+ mon, 1+ day ago (396+ words) Intel’s shares had spiked by 576% from August last year to the peak of $142 at the end of June, amid the general AI investment mania, though it lost $19 billion in 2024 and 2025 combined, and $14 billion so far this year, for a total…...
Intel Joins Race to Sell Shares at Sky-High Prices after Spike. Big Tech Figured it out, the Economy Benefits, Maybe Not Investors
1+ mon, 2+ day ago (435+ words) Intel announced today that it plans an offering of $15 billion in common stock, with underwriters receiving an option for an additional $2.25 billion in common stock, for a potential total of $17.25 billion in share sales. The SEC filing left the number…...
Derivative Losses Squish Already Crushed UWM, the Largest Mortgage Lender in the US: SPACs just Keep on Giving
1+ mon, 6+ day ago (399+ words) The already shredded stock of UWM Holding, the parent company of United Wholesale Mortgage, the largest home-mortgage lender in the US with $40 billion in mortgage originations in Q2, plunged another 35% today, into penny-stock territory of $1.20 a share. The company, which exclusively…...
Unwinding the “Lock-in Effect” Suddenly Stalls as Homeowners Stopped Paying Off Below-3% Mortgages
2+ mon, 1+ week ago (974+ words) The share of 3% to 3.99% mortgages edged down by just 20 basis points in Q1 from Q4, the smallest quarter-to-quarter decline since their share started to decline in 2022, to a share of 30.4% of all mortgages (blue), according to data by the Federal Housing Finance…...
Yen Craters to 4-Decade Low, JGB Yields at 3-Decade Highs: Monetary Policy Mess Comes Home to Roost
2+ mon, 1+ week ago (945+ words) The yen has declined to a new four-decade low against the US dollar, to ¥162.8 for $1 USD, not seen since 1986, amid speculation that the Ministry of Finance would step in again by selling dollars and buying yen, plowing even more of…...
CPI Inflation 4.25%, Blows by 2-Year Treasury Yield, Closes in on 10-Year Treasury, Driven by “Supercore” Services, Gasoline, Electricity
3+ mon, 2+ day ago (1097+ words) The all-items CPI jumped by 0.47% seasonally adjusted in May from April (+5.6% annualized), on top of the two majestic spikes in the prior two months (blue line in the chart). Year-over-year, the all-items CPI jumped by 4.25%, the worst inflation reading since…...